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研究 27个都市区的网络平台经济

司机和教师的经验

A significant and growing fraction of families generate income through the Online Platform Economy. 在12bet官方研究所最近的研究中, we leveraged administrative banking records to track supply-side participation and revenues in the Online Platform Economy, 并观察到2013年至2018年间两个行业的强劲长期趋势:

  • Participation on transportation platforms—measured as the fraction of our sample generating income through a transportation platform in any given month—increased by more than a factor of 20, 而月平均收入下降了一半.
  • 租赁平台的参与度增加了两倍,平均月收入翻了一番.

我们还报告了各大城市参与率的巨大差异.

在后续研究中, 我们使用地理和时间变化来更详细地探索这些动态, in order to get a better understanding of the viability of the transportation and leasing sectors of the Online Platform Economy as a potential source of income for participant families. We explore variation in characteristics of the Online Platform Economy over five years across 27 metropolitan areas in order to answer four questions.

  • Given the geographic variation in platform participation, how do revenues vary across metro areas?
  • 平台参与和收益的本地相关性是什么, 哪些因素可以解释我们看到的跨区域差异?
  • What do the sample-wide secular trends in participation and revenues say about local metropolitan area trends—do they reflect changes in just a few metro areas, 或者他们讲述的故事在大都市地区是一致的?
  • 例如,收入前景和参与率是如何相互作用的, did the increase in participation in the transportation sector create the decline in average monthly driver revenues?

在回答这些问题时, 我们专注于在线平台经济中的运输和租赁行业, 因为它们最受当地供需状况的影响, compared with non-transport work and selling (the other two sectors on which we have previously reported).

我们的研究结果表明,这两个行业的供给侧增长仍有空间. 然而,这对想成为全职司机的人有影响. 综上所述, our findings raise important questions about policy options to improve income prospects of current and potential participants in the Online Platform Economy. 我们的研究结果如下.

找到一个: There is significant variation across metropolitan areas in terms of participation rates, 平均月收入, and levels of engagement in the leasing and transportation sectors of the Online Platform Economy. Participation and revenues are positively correlated but there are telling exceptions to that pattern.

发现二: Metropolitan areas with larger incumbent industries as the Online Platform Economy emerged ended up with higher participation and higher average revenues in the corresponding platform sectors.

发现三: 几乎每个都会区都有, average monthly revenue declined for drivers and rose for lessors between 2013 and 2018, 充分考虑司机和出租人收入的长期趋势, 尽管参与比例在大都市地区发生了变化.

发现四: 在这两个领域,尤其是在交通领域, participation tends to increase the most in the months and places where average revenues are increasing the most.

发现五: At least 45 percent–and likely more–of the decline in average monthly driver revenues was accounted for by drivers participating more occasionally within the month. 在租赁行业, 更频繁的参与贡献了收入增长的一半以上.

Data

结论

自2013年以来, the transportation and leasing sectors of the Online Platform Economy have grown significantly in terms of supply-side participation rates and total revenues paid to suppliers. Our results suggest that there is still room for supply-side growth in both the transportation and leasing sectors of the Online Platform Economy. 此外, our results raise questions about the potential effectiveness of policies to cap participation in an effort to improve revenue prospects for participants in the Online Platform Economy. 随着偶尔的接触在交通运输领域变得越来越普遍, important policy questions arise around what should be or can be done for would-be full-time drivers. 在具有巨大潜在运输和租赁服务市场的大都市地区, these sectors of the Online Platform Economy are robust alternatives for families looking to generate income, though the opportunities they present are almost certainly changing as the Online Platform Economy matures. 

作者

法雷尔

开国和前总统 & 首席执行官